David Payne is confident Fox Fighter has a great chance

Fox Fighter may not have the backing of bookmakers, but manager David Payne has warned bettors not to leave him in their guard.

Master David Payne is confused and underrated Fox Fighter is again friendless in betting for the Living Turf Handicap (1100m) in Hawkesbury on Saturday.

Fox Fighter is at $ 17 on the latest bets despite good form around booming young sprinters Mazu and Athelric this fall.

“Fox Fighter is always above the odds, it’s unbelievable,” Payne said.

“His last third place start in Athelric at Warwick Farm was very good, his sections would have been one of the fastest of the day.

“He goes to the top of dirt and wet tracks, and never has a bad race. His only bad race was when he was hit in the knee by a” shoe “two back starts.

“Fox Fighter is doing really well and will be competitive, I am confident he will race well.”

Payne is also mounting Obvious Step in Midway Handicap and Field Commander in Clarendon Stakes (1400m) – and both are generous.

“Ovvious Step gets better as it gets deeper into a campaign,” Payne said.

“Her run the other day was better than it looked because she was 61kg and was held up for a run. It’s hard to accelerate on these wet tracks when that happens.

“Field Commander is looking for more, but I’ve put blinders on him and I hope he can have a better race.”

THE BEST BARRIERS

The best reefs at Hawkesbury in the past 3 years (in order of wins)

1100m: N / A

1300m: 4.1.2.5

1400m: 1.6.2.5

1500m: 1.4.3.5

1600m: 2.5.9.1

1800m: 3,6,2,7

THE BIG BETS AND THE SECURITIES MARKETS

Race 1: Basquiat $ 11- $ 7- $ 5 wagers $ 1,000 e / w and $ 8 / $ 2.70, $ 500 to $ 7 twice, Owen County $ 15- $ 10

Race 2, No big bets or banknote market movements

Race 3, much desired $ 12- $ 10

Race 4, Kalapour $ 6- $ 2.90- $ 2.50 after constant support including bets of $ 900 e / w and $ 6 / $ 2.30, $ 1,000 to $ 5, $ 1,400 to $ 4.20 , $ 500 to $ 3.80, $ 1,000 e / w $ 3.70 / $ 1.70, $ 1,500 to $ 3.60, $ 500 to $ 3.20, $ 1,000 to $ 3, $ 1,000 to $ 2.80, Get the idea $ 15- $ 12

Race 5, $ 10- $ 5.50- $ 4.80 authentic jewel

Game 6, Malkovich $ 2.70- $ 2.80- $ 2.50- $ 2.25 with bets of $ 1,117 to $ 2.80, $ 2,120 to $ 2.50, $ 1,050 to $ 2.50, $ 900 to $ 2.50, $ 800 to $ 2.50, $ 500 to $ 2.50, Tycoonist $ 5.50- $ 4.80

Game 7, Mr Mozart $ 3.90- $ 3- $ 2.20 with bets of $ 500 to $ 3.90, $ 1,700 to $ 3.20, $ 650 to $ 3.10, $ 500 to $ 3, 10, $ 1,000 to $ 2.90, $ 800 to $ 2.80, $ 2,170 to $ 2.70, $ 962 to $ 2.60

Game 8, Brookspire $ 4.20- $ 3.40 after wagers of $ 666 to $ 4.20, $ 2,500 to $ 4, $ 500 to $ 3.90, $ 1,060 to $ 3.80, $ 1,500 to $ 3.70, Fashchanel $ 13- $ 7.50

Race 9, Archedemus $ 16- $ 11- $ 12, Kirwan’s Lane $ 8- $ 6, The Frontman $ 18- $ 14- $ 11

Game 10, Norwegian Bliss $ 2.90- $ 3.10- $ 2.60 wagers $ 500 to $ 3.10, $ 500 to $ 3 twice, Samoot $ 9- $ 6.50, Big Noise $ 21- $ 13- $ 11

PRELIMINARY SCENARIO

Race 3: 1,14,16,17

Race 4: 1.11

Race 5: 2,6,8,11

Race 6: 1,2,5,6

SQUARE

Race 7: 1,5,6

Race 8: 3,10,12,15

Race 9: 8,10,11,13

Race 10: 3,7,8,13

PRICE CONTROL

heat (Race 4) is the most sustained runner at the Hawkesbury standalone match, strengthening from $ 6 to $ 2.50 after steady support including $ 900 each way bets at $ 6 / $ 2.30, $ 1,000 to $ 5, $ 1,400 at $ 4.20, $ 1,000 each way at $ 3.70 / $ 1.70, $ 1,500 at $ 3.60, $ 1,000 at $ 3 and $ 1,000 at $ 2.80.

TEST POINTS

Eleven Eleven (Race 6) has the dual honor of being both the highest-scoring horse race at the Hawkesbury standalone match (108) and the highest prize winner of the day, just over $ 2.8 million thanks to his now apparently annual success at the Magic Millions Carnival. In fact, Fastnet Rock’s coached son Greg Hickman earned an additional $ 572,000 on his last outing on the Gold Coast when he won the Magic Millions Cup on January 15. Eleven Eleven makes its Hawkesbury debut on Saturday in the aptly named Gold Rush off eye. – obtaining the second place in a 1200 meters heat at Randwick.

fashionable (Race 8) is already a very valuable mare, but will move to a whole new level if she can secure a well-deserved black dude in Saturday’s Hawkesbury Crown. The five-year-old girl trained by John O’Shea is a daughter of Elegant Fashion’s I Am Invincible who, in addition to grossing $ 6.3 million in her career, is something of a rarity to be a Derby winning woman – in his case, in Hong Kong. As for O’Shea’s mare, she has been through a storm at home in Randwick in recent weeks and devised the dream barrier (2).

SECTIONAL STARS

Owen County (Race 1) has all the hallmarks of a future classics star for the famous classics trainer, John Sargeant. The two-year-old is the son of Triple Crown winner Dundeel from an Encounter mare, herself from a Presunta mare, and is in the same family as the famous endurance flu, Twig Moss. No wonder then that Owen Country was so strong at the end of his 1400m debut at Kembla when he stormed the outer section of the track by winning by half a length, but in reality, running away and crossing the finish line. .

Harvey Street (Race 3) is a three-year-old from Newcastle with a tidy and developing curriculum. The son of Cox Plate winner Adelaide, he has raced seven times so far with two wins and three finishes. Everything about the gelding suggests he will enjoy Hawkesbury’s long straight in the Midway on Saturday and, while not positioned on both Heavy track starts, he performed admirably on Soft. He looks to peak now after finishing third in Newcastle nine days ago.

BEST BET

heat (race 4) was very impressive on his Australian debut running along Marnix over 1500m at Hawkesbury. Former Irish light running galloper who won at 2551m overseas. Kalapour reaches 1800m which fits and Dylan Gibbons’ 3kg claim is a big plus. A promising, light-bred five-year-old took the lead.

VALUE BET

A very fine red (Game 5) ran a blinder first when she was third in Mazu in the Listed Fireball, then ran with no luck in the PJ Bell Stakes to finish eighth in Heresy. She was confused, she had to change course a couple of times on the straight and she should have finished much closer. She designed wide but appeals to all odds.

THE SENTENCE

Hawkesbury

R7: Hawkesbury Guinea (1400m)

Richard Haynes (Sky Sports Radio): “Vilana has always been held in high regard by James Cummings and looked good at winning championships. I see him crossing his wide barrier, stabilizing near speed, and once again he’s very strong at the finish. Mr. Mozart hasn’t raced for four weeks, but he beat the older horses in the Doncaster Prelude the last time we saw him. He drew perfectly and must be in the finish line. If you like Vilana you have to love Loch Eagle as there wasn’t much between them on the last start. Party For One is an up-and-coming filly who has formidable preparation.

Glenn Munsie (Sky Racing): “Mr. Mozart is flying right now and is looking for his third consecutive win here since returning to NSW as well as being driven at high speed. At the moment, the quote of $ 2.20 is very short and for me it is closer to a possibility of $ 2.70. It has to be respected as he seems to be checking here once again. The value lies in Party For One with the addition of blinders and its recent efforts on very heavy tracks.

Grant Palmer (bookmaker): “Vilana surpassed her grades very quickly which is a sign of a nice horse, tactically she can roll forward sitting to the beat or run more handling the soft with no problem.”

Michael Sullivan (bookmaker): “Mr. Mozart looks like the best choice here after a couple of dominant wins. Gap comes up with a slight question but comes back in the distance and Pike has endless options from the draw. It seems difficult to resist. “

Andrew Georgiou (TAB): “Mr. Mozart looks extremely hard to beat and bettors suggest they think the same way. Over 70 percent of the first money is in his corner. “

Verdict: Mr. Mozart

R8: Hawkesbury Crown (1300m)

Richard Haynes (Sky Sports Radio): “This looks like an objective race for Fashchanel. Winner of her in her only track race of hers, John O’Shea gave her three tests in preparation, and by a good barrier and her favorite soft track, I’m happy to be with her. Brookspire has grown into a quality mare, and while a Queensland campaign is upon us, it’s awfully hard to beat here. Wandabaa is a ripper and she must be a serious gamer, and while her recent trial hasn’t been lightning-fast, Nudge is too elegant to overlook.

Glenn Munsie (Sky Racing): “The 1300m seems like an ideal starting point for Brookspire here in what doesn’t seem like an overly deep race. Solid record fit for this recently with a trial at Warwick Farm. I tested some smart ones last time like Expat and Snapdancer at level weights so suitable here. Watch Cliff’s Art which was sensational first after an injury at Randwick.

Grant Palmer (bookmaker): “If you take out the last race for Mirra Vision and go second in Group 1 Coolmore first, it should be half the price currently available. He has had some time since his last race at Newcastle and today he gets the blinders for the first time, so I expect him to be right at the finish. “

Michael Sullivan (bookmaker): “Fashchanel came out in style with streak victories and appears to have returned to practice just as well. He easy bet to have here with the map advantage in a race that lacks speed.

Andrea Georgiou (TAB): “The push in the last 48 hours has been for Brookspire. Fashchanel was spotted at the double-digit opening price and is the best.

Verdict: Brookspire

R9: Hawkesbury Gold Cup (1600m)

Richard Haynes (Sky Sports Radio): “Kirwan’s Lane has always promised to compete at this level, and this may just be the race for that to happen. His first run was excellent, he is always improving in second place and will start late. The intelligent mare Atishu should not be underestimated, if she shows up in her best form she is certainly a great hope. It looks like Art Cadeau has made that leap into Group company and the south coast star looks to be doing just as well as ever. Olmedo could be ready now, here he is down grade “.

Glenn Munsie (Sky Racing): “Nearly half of the pitch comes through Our Playboy’s won BM100 at Randwick, so that’s the form line to look at here. Expect a huge improvement here from The Frontman to its third Australian start. His two efforts here were far better than they appear on paper as he did a stack of work in both and vanished late. Aiming for a much gentler ride in transit here from the inside draws without tremendous speed and that suits him right down to the ground. We do not pose any problems ”.

Grant Palmer (bookmaker): “There isn’t a lot of speed on paper that makes me warm up to one with great probability here Olmedo, back from Group 1 level last time. Ascending a mile is ideal and has a history of carrying heavy weights to win. “

Michael Sullivan (bookmaker): “Very uniform deal. I’d like a little third for him, but I thought Archedemus wasn’t hopeless. He won this race with a very similar configuration last year carrying more weight and has a very good track record. Away from him, Kirwans Lane and Art Cadeau seem well organized and represent over 75% of all the money invested so far in the race. “

Andrea Georgiou (TAB): “Imaging, which opened at $ 16, has halved its price and it looks like a real possibility in that. I don’t mind Archedemus anyway. “

Verdict: Cadeau art

You may also like...