Sarah Palin’s house campaign is a disaster as she leads Santa by just 13 points

A new poll of the Alaska House Special Election first round of voting was released showing Sarah Palin with just 19% of the vote and leading Santa by just 13 points.

Alaska Survey Research tweeted their findings:

Q: Between late May and early June, elections will be held by mail to elect a replacement for Congressman Don Young. If you were to vote today, who would you vote for?

Palin 19%
start 16%
large 13%
6% clause
Peltola 5%
constant 5%
Sweetness 4%
…
2/16 pic.twitter.com/oZBr8dIkBL

– Ivan Moore (@ IvanMoore1) May 10, 2022

The top four finishers in the first round of voting go to a classified choice ballot, and in each of the models for the classified choice vote Palin is eliminated.

The answer to why Palin is eliminated are found in the grades of approval of each candidate:

Positive – Negative – No opinion – Never heard of

Palin 36-59-4-1
Start 42-41-14-4
Large 35-46-14-5
Claus 36-23-33-8
Peltola 18-6-20-56
Constant 21-21-15-44
Sweeney 20-17-25-37
Revak 27-13-21-39
Lowenfels 27-11-22-41
Wool 12-14-20-54
Halcro 26-23-20-31
Coghill 22-30-22-26

16/11

– Ivan Moore (@ IvanMoore1) May 10, 2022

A good rule of thumb when it comes to classified voting is that the candidate with the negative score of nearly 60% does not have a good chance of winning in a general election with classified voting. Palin has the highest negatives of anyone in the primary, and while her name recognition should be more than enough to get her through the primary, her high unfavorable score makes it unlikely that she will win the general election.

Palin is barely beating Santa in the primary, and if anyone symbolizes the socialism Sarah Palin complains about, it’s a guy who shows up at people’s homes just to give them free stuff.

If Sarah Palin loses the general election, the last shadow of stardom that is fading into the distance from Wasilla will eventually die out.

Mr. Easley is the managing editor. He is also a White House press pool and congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a BA in political science. His undergraduate work has focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.

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